Probability MCQ Questions & Answers in Statistics and Probability | Maths
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121.
A coin is tossed $$2n$$ times. The chance that the number of times one gets head is not equal to the number of times one gets tail is :
A
$$\frac{{\left( {2n} \right)!}}{{{{\left( {n!} \right)}^2}}}.{\left( {\frac{1}{2}} \right)^{2n}}$$
B
$$1 - \frac{{\left( {2n} \right)!}}{{{{\left( {n!} \right)}^2}}}$$
C
$$1 - \frac{{\left( {2n} \right)!}}{{{{\left( {n!} \right)}^2}}}.\frac{1}{{{4^n}}}$$
The required probability
$$ = 1 - $$ probability of equal number of heads and tails
$$\eqalign{
& = 1 - {}^{2n}{C_n}.{\left( {\frac{1}{2}} \right)^n}.{\left( {\frac{1}{2}} \right)^{2n - n}} \cr
& = 1 - \frac{{\left( {2n} \right)!}}{{\left( {n!} \right)\left( {n!} \right)}}.{\left( {\frac{1}{4}} \right)^n} \cr} $$
122.
Rahul has to write a project, Probability that he will get a project copy is $$'p'$$, probability that he will get a blue pen is $$'q'$$ and probability that he will get a black pen is $$\frac{1}{2}$$. If he can complete the project either with blue or with black pen or with both and probability that he completed the project is $$\frac{1}{2}$$ then $$p\left( {1 + q} \right)$$ is :
A
$$\frac{1}{2}$$
B
$$1$$
C
$$\frac{1}{4}$$
D
$$2$$
Answer :
$$1$$
Lets define the events as
Probability of getting project copy $$\left( A \right) = p$$
Probability of getting blue pen $$\left( B \right) = q$$
Probability of getting black pen $$\left( C \right) = \frac{1}{2}$$
Then, $$\eqalign{
& {\text{ }}p\left( {AB\overline C } \right) + p\left( {AC\overline B } \right) + p\left( {ABC} \right) = \frac{1}{2} \cr
& p.q.\frac{1}{2} + p.\frac{1}{2}\left( {1 - q} \right) + p.q.\frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2} \cr
& \therefore \,pq + p - pq + pq = 1 \cr
& \therefore \,p\left( {1 + q} \right) = 1 \cr} $$
123.
India play two matches each with West Indies and Australia. In any match the probabilities of India getting $$0,\,1$$ and $$2$$ points are $$0.45,\,0.05$$ and $$0.50$$ respectively. Assuming that the outcomes are independent, the probability of India getting at least $$7$$ points is :
A
$$0.0875$$
B
$$\frac{1}{{16}}$$
C
$$0.1125$$
D
none of these
Answer :
$$0.0875$$
$$P\left( {{E_0}} \right) = 0.45,\,\,\,P\left( {{E_1}} \right) = 0.05,\,\,\,P\left( {{E_2}} \right) = 0.50$$
For $$7$$ points there should be at least three instances of $$2$$ points and one of $$1$$ or $$2$$ points.
$$\therefore $$ the required probability
$$\eqalign{
& = P\left( {{E_2}{E_2}{E_2}{E_2}} \right) + P\left( {{E_2}{E_2}{E_2}{E_1}} \right) + P\left( {{E_2}{E_2}{E_1}{E_2}} \right) + P\left( {{E_2}{E_1}{E_2}{E_2}} \right) + P\left( {{E_1}{E_2}{E_2}{E_2}} \right) \cr
& = {\left\{ {P\left( {{E_2}} \right)} \right\}^4} + 4{\left\{ {P\left( {{E_2}} \right)} \right\}^3}.P\left( {{E_1}} \right) \cr
& = {\left( {0.50} \right)^4} + 4{\left( {0.50} \right)^3}.\left( {0.05} \right) \cr
& = 0.0875 \cr} $$
124.
Let $$A$$ and $$B$$ be two events. Then $$1 + P\left( {A \cap B} \right) - P\left( B \right) - P\left( A \right)$$ is equal to :
A
$$P\left( {\overline A \cup \overline B } \right)$$
B
$$P\left( {A \cap \overline B } \right)$$
C
$$P\left( {\overline A \cap B} \right)$$
D
$$P\left( {\overline A \cap \overline B } \right)$$
Answer :
$$P\left( {\overline A \cap \overline B } \right)$$
$$\eqalign{
& {\text{We know,}} \cr
& P\left( {A \cup B} \right) = P\left( A \right) + P\left( B \right) - P\left( {A \cap B} \right) \cr
& {\text{Consider}}\,;\,1 + P\left( {A \cap B} \right) - P\left( B \right) - P\left( A \right) \cr
& = 1 - P\left( B \right) - P\left( A \right) + P\left( A \right) + P\left( B \right) - P\left( {A \cup B} \right) \cr
& = 1 - P\left( {A \cup B} \right) \cr} $$
125.
Three dice are thrown. The probability of getting a sum which is a perfect square is :
A
$$\frac{2}{5}$$
B
$$\frac{9}{{20}}$$
C
$$\frac{1}{4}$$
D
none of these
Answer :
none of these
$$n\left( S \right) = 6 \times 6 \times 6.$$ Clearly, the sum varies from $$3$$ to $$18,$$ and among these $$4,\,9,\,16$$ are perfect squares.
The number of ways to get the sum $$4$$
$$=$$ the number of integral solutions of $${x_1} + {x_2} + {x_3} = 4$$ where $$1 \leqslant {x_1} \leqslant 6,\,1 \leqslant {x_2} \leqslant 6,\,1 \leqslant {x_3} \leqslant 6$$
$$\eqalign{
& = {\text{coefficient of }}{x^4}{\text{ in }}{\left( {x + {x^2} + ..... + {x^6}} \right)^3} \cr
& = {\text{coefficient of }}x{\text{ in }}{\left( {\frac{{1 - {x^6}}}{{1 - x}}} \right)^3} \cr
& = {\text{coefficient of }}x{\text{ in }}{\left( {1 - {x^6}} \right)^3}.{\left( {1 - x} \right)^{ - 3}} = {}^3{C_1} \cr} $$
Similarly, the number of ways to get the sum $$9$$
$$\eqalign{
& = {\text{coefficient of }}{x^6}{\text{ in }}{\left( {1 - {x^6}} \right)^3}.{\left( {1 - x} \right)^{ - 3}} \cr
& = - 3 \times 1 + {}^8{C_6} \cr
& = 28 - 3 \cr
& = 25 \cr} $$
The number of ways to get the sum $$16$$
$$\eqalign{
& = {\text{coefficient of }}{x^{13}}{\text{ in }}{\left( {1 - {x^6}} \right)^3}.{\left( {1 - x} \right)^{ - 3}} \cr
& = {\text{coefficient of }}{x^{13}}{\text{ in }}\left( {1 - 3{x^6} + 3{x^{12}} - {x^{18}}} \right).\left( {{}^2{C_0} + {}^3{C_1}x + {}^4{C_2}{x^2} + ....} \right) \cr
& = {}^{15}{C_{13}} - 3 \times {}^9{C_7} + 3 \times {}^3{C_1} \cr
& = 105 - 108 + 9 \cr
& = 6 \cr
& \therefore \,n\left( E \right) = 3 + 25 + 6 = 34 \cr
& {\text{So, }}P\left( E \right) = \frac{{34}}{{6 \times 6 \times 6}} = \frac{{17}}{{108}}. \cr} $$
126.
Let $$A = \left\{ {2,\,3,\,4,.....,\,20,\,21} \right\}.$$ A number is chosen at random from the set $$A$$ and it is found to be a prime number. The probability that it is more than $$10$$ is :
A
$$\frac{9}{{10}}$$
B
$$\frac{1}{{10}}$$
C
$$\frac{1}{5}$$
D
none of these
Answer :
$$\frac{1}{5}$$
The required probability $$=$$ (probability of drawing a prime number) × (probability of drawing more than $$10$$ from the prime numbers)
$$\eqalign{
& = \frac{8}{{20}} \times \frac{4}{8} \cr
& = \frac{1}{5} \cr} $$
127.
Two cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. Let $$X$$ denote the random variable of number of aces obtained in the two drawn cards. Then $$P\left( {X = 1} \right) + P\left( {X = 2} \right)$$ equals:
128.
A card is drawn from a pack. The card is replaced and the pack is reshuffled. If this is done six times, the probability that $$2$$ hearts, $$2$$ diamonds and $$2$$ black cards are drawn is :
A
$$90.{\left( {\frac{1}{4}} \right)^6}$$
B
$$\frac{{45}}{2}.{\left( {\frac{3}{4}} \right)^4}$$
C
$$\frac{{90}}{{{2^{10}}}}$$
D
none of these
Answer :
$$\frac{{90}}{{{2^{10}}}}$$
The probability of getting a heart in one draw $$ = \frac{{13}}{{52}} = \frac{1}{4}$$
Similarly for a diamond, the probability $$ = \frac{1}{4}$$
The probability of getting a black card in one draw $$ = \frac{{26}}{{52}} = \frac{1}{2}$$
$$\therefore $$ the required probability $$ = {}^6{C_2} \times {}^4{C_2} \times {\left( {\frac{1}{4}} \right)^2} \times {\left( {\frac{1}{4}} \right)^2} \times {\left( {\frac{1}{2}} \right)^2},$$ because in $$6$$ draws, $$2$$ draws will be for hearts, $$2$$ for diamonds and $$2$$ for black cards, and this selection can be done in $${}^6{C_2} \times {}^4{C_2} \times {}^2{C_2}$$ ways.
129.
Let $$A$$ and $$B$$ be two independent events such that $$P\left( A \right) = \frac{1}{5},\,P\left( {A \cup B} \right) = \frac{7}{{10}}.$$ Then $$P\left( {\overline B } \right)$$ is equal to :
A
$$\frac{3}{8}$$
B
$$\frac{2}{7}$$
C
$$\frac{7}{9}$$
D
none of these
Answer :
$$\frac{3}{8}$$
$$\eqalign{
& {\text{Let }}P\left( {\overline B } \right) = x.{\text{ Then }}P\left( B \right) = 1 - x \cr
& \therefore \,P\left( {A \cap B} \right) = P\left( A \right)P\left( B \right) = \frac{1}{5}\left( {1 - x} \right) \cr
& {\text{But }}P\left( {A \cup B} \right) = P\left( A \right) + P\left( B \right) - P\left( {A \cap B} \right) \cr
& \Rightarrow \frac{7}{{10}} = \frac{1}{5} + \left( {1 - x} \right) - \frac{1}{5}\left( {1 - x} \right){\text{ or }}\frac{1}{2} = \frac{4}{5}\left( {1 - x} \right) \cr
& \therefore \,1 - x = \frac{5}{8}\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\therefore \,x = \frac{3}{8} \cr} $$
130.
A multiple choice examination has 5 questions. Each question has three alternative answers of which exactly one is correct. The probability that a student will get 4 or more correct answers just by guessing is: