Probability MCQ Questions & Answers in Statistics and Probability | Maths
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41.
Four numbers are chosen at random (without replacement) from the set {1, 2, 3, . . . . . 20}. Statement - 1 : The probability that the chosen numbers when arranged in some order will form an AP is $$\frac{1}{{85}}.$$ Statement - 2 : If the four chosen numbers form an AP, then the set of all possible values of common difference is $$\left( { \pm 1, \pm 2, \pm 3, \pm 4, \pm 5} \right).$$
A
Statement - 1 is true, Statement - 2 is true ; Statement - 2
is not a correct explanation for Statement - 1
B
Statement - 1 is true, Statement - 2 is false
C
Statement - 1 is flase, Statement - 2 is true
D
Statement - 1 is true, Statement - 2 is true ; Statement - 2
is a correct explanation for Statement - 1.
Answer :
Statement - 1 is true, Statement - 2 is false
$$n\left( S \right) = {\,^{20}}{C_4}$$
Statement - 1 :
common difference is 1; total number of cases = 17
common difference is 2; total number of cases = 14
common difference is 3; total number of cases = 11
common difference is 4; total number of cases = 8
common difference is 5; total number of cases = 5
common difference is 6; total number of cases = 2
Prob. $$ = \frac{{17 + 14 + 11 + 8 + 5 + 2}}{{^{20}{C_4}}}$$
$$ = \frac{1}{{85}}$$
Statement - 2 is false, because common difference can
be 6 also.
42.
A six faced fair dice is thrown until 1 comes, then the probability that 1 comes in even no. of trials is
A
$$\frac{5}{{11}}$$
B
$$\frac{5}{{6}}$$
C
$$\frac{6}{{11}}$$
D
$$\frac{1}{{6}}$$
Answer :
$$\frac{5}{{11}}$$
In single throw of a dice, probability of getting 1 is = $$\frac{1}{6}$$
and prob. of not getting 1 is $$\frac{5}{6}$$
Then getting 1 in even no. of chances = getting 1 in $${2^{nd}}$$ chance or in $${4^{th}}$$ chance or in $${6^{th}}$$ chance and so on
∴ Req. Prob. $$ = \frac{5}{6} \times \frac{1}{6} + {\left( {\frac{5}{6}} \right)^3} \times \frac{1}{6} + {\left( {\frac{5}{6}} \right)^5} \times \frac{1}{6} + .....\,\infty $$
$$\eqalign{
& = \frac{5}{{36}}\left[ {\frac{1}{{1 - \frac{{25}}{{36}}}}} \right] \cr
& = \frac{5}{{36}} \times \frac{{36}}{{11}} \cr
& = \frac{5}{{11}} \cr} $$
43.
Let $$0 < P\left( A \right) < 1,\,0 < P\left( B \right) < 1$$ and $$P\left( {A \cup B} \right) = P\left( A \right) + P\left( B \right) - P\left( A \right)P\left( B \right),$$ then,
A
$$P\left( {\frac{B}{A}} \right) = P\left( B \right) - P\left( A \right)$$
$$\eqalign{
& {\text{Given,}} \cr
& P\left( A \right) + P\left( B \right) - P\left( A \right)P\left( B \right) = P\left( {A \cup B} \right) \cr
& {\text{Comparing with }} \cr
& P\left( A \right) + P\left( B \right) - P\left( {A \cap B} \right) = P\left( {A \cup B} \right) \cr
& {\text{we get, }}P\left( {A \cap B} \right) = P\left( A \right).P\left( B \right) \cr
& \therefore \,A{\text{ and }}B{\text{ independent events}}{\text{.}} \cr} $$
44.
Given two independent events, if the probability that exactly one of them occurs is $$\frac{{26}}{{49}}$$ and the probability that none of them occurs is $$\frac{{15}}{{49}},$$ then the probability of more probable of the two events is :
A
$$\frac{4}{7}$$
B
$$\frac{6}{7}$$
C
$$\frac{3}{7}$$
D
$$\frac{5}{7}$$
Answer :
$$\frac{4}{7}$$
Let the probability of occurrence of first event $$A$$, be $$'a'$$
$$\eqalign{
& {\text{i}}{\text{.e}}{\text{., }}P\left( A \right) = a \cr
& \therefore \,P\left( {{\text{not }}A} \right) = 1 - a \cr} $$
And also suppose that probability of occurrence of second event $$B,\,P\left( B \right) = b,$$
$$\eqalign{
& \therefore \,P\left( {{\text{not }}B} \right) = 1 - b \cr
& {\text{Now,}} \cr
& P\left( {A{\text{ and not }}B} \right) + P\left( {{\text{not }}A{\text{ and }}B} \right) = \frac{{26}}{{49}} \cr
& \Rightarrow P\left( A \right) \times P\left( {{\text{not }}B} \right) + P\left( {{\text{not }}A} \right) \times P\left( B \right) = \frac{{26}}{{49}} \cr
& \Rightarrow a + b - 2ab = \frac{{26}}{{49}}......\left( {\text{i}} \right) \cr
& {\text{And }}P\left( {{\text{not }}A{\text{ and not }}B} \right) = \frac{{15}}{{49}} \cr
& \Rightarrow P\left( {{\text{not }}A} \right) \times P\left( {{\text{not }}B} \right) = \frac{{15}}{{49}} \cr
& \Rightarrow 1 - b - a + ab = \frac{{15}}{{49}} \cr
& \Rightarrow a + b - ab = \frac{{34}}{{49}}......\left( {{\text{ii}}} \right) \cr
& {\text{From}}\,{\text{equations }}\left( {\text{i}} \right){\text{ and }}\left( {{\text{ii}}} \right), \cr
& a + b = \frac{{42}}{{49}}......\left( {{\text{iii}}} \right) \cr
& {\text{and }}ab = \frac{8}{{49}} \cr
& {\left( {a - b} \right)^2} = {\left( {a + b} \right)^2} - 4ab \cr
& = \frac{{42}}{{49}} \times \frac{{42}}{{49}} - \frac{{4 \times 8}}{{49}} = \frac{{196}}{{2401}} \cr
& \therefore \,a - b = \frac{{14}}{{49}}......\left( {{\text{iv}}} \right) \cr
& {\text{From}}\,{\text{equations }}\left( {{\text{iii}}} \right){\text{ and }}\left( {{\text{iv}}} \right), \cr
& a = \frac{4}{7},\,\,b = \frac{2}{7} \cr} $$
Hence probability of more probable of the two events $$ = \frac{4}{7}$$
45.
Let $${E^c}$$ denote the complement of an event $$E$$. Let $$E,\,F,\,G$$ be pairwise independent events with $$P\left( G \right) > 0$$ and $$P\left( {E \cap F \cap G} \right) = 0.$$ Then $$P\left( {{E^c} \cap {F^c}|G} \right)$$ equals :
A
$$P\left( {{E^c}} \right) + P\left( {{F^c}} \right)$$
B
$$P\left( {{E^c}} \right) - P\left( {{F^c}} \right)$$
C
$$P\left( {{E^c}} \right) - P\left( F \right)$$
D
$$P\left( E \right) - P\left( {{F^c}} \right)$$
Answer :
$$P\left( {{E^c}} \right) - P\left( F \right)$$
We have
$$\eqalign{
& \because \,E \cap F \cap G = \phi \cr
& P\left( {{E^c} \cap {F^c}/G} \right) = \frac{{P\left( {{E^c} \cap {F^c} \cap G} \right)}}{{P\left( G \right)}} \cr
& = \frac{{P\left( G \right) - P\left( {E \cap G} \right) - P\left( {G \cap F} \right)}}{{P\left( G \right)}} \cr
& \left[ {{\text{From ven diagram }}{E^c} \cap {F^c} \cap G = G - E \cap G - F \cap G} \right] \cr
& = \frac{{P\left( G \right) - P\left( E \right)P\left( G \right) - P\left( G \right)P\left( F \right)}}{{P\left( G \right)}} \cr
& = 1 - P\left( E \right) - P\left( F \right) \cr
& = P\left( {{E^c}} \right) - P\left( F \right) \cr
& \left[ {\because \,E,\,F,\,G{\text{ are pairwise independent}}} \right] \cr} $$
46.
Assume that each born child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. If a family has two children, then the conditional probabilities that both are girls given that $$\left( {\text{i}} \right)$$ the youngest is a girl, $$\left( {{\text{ii}}} \right)$$ at least one is a girl are :
A
$$\frac{1}{2}{\text{ and }}\frac{1}{4}$$
B
$$\frac{1}{3}{\text{ and }}\frac{1}{2}$$
C
$$\frac{1}{3}{\text{ and }}\frac{1}{4}$$
D
$$\frac{1}{2}{\text{ and }}\frac{1}{3}$$
Answer :
$$\frac{1}{2}{\text{ and }}\frac{1}{4}$$
Let $$b$$ and $$g$$ represent the boy and the girl child, respectively. If a family has two children, the sample space will be
$$S = \left\{ {\left( {b,\,b} \right),\,\left( {b,\,g} \right),\,\left( {g,\,b} \right),\,\left( {g,\,g} \right)} \right\}$$
Let $$A$$ be the event that both children are girls.
Therefore, $$A = \left\{ {\left( {g,\,g} \right)} \right\}$$
$$\left( {\text{i}} \right)$$ Let $$B$$ be the event that the youngest child is a girl.
Therefore, $$B = \left\{ {\left( {b,\,g} \right),\,\left( {g,\,g} \right)} \right\}$$
$$\eqalign{
& \Rightarrow A \cap B = \left\{ {\left( {g,\,g} \right)} \right\} \cr
& \therefore \,P\left( B \right) = \frac{2}{4} = \frac{1}{2}{\text{ and }}P\left( {A \cap B} \right) = \frac{1}{4} \cr} $$
The conditional probability that both are girls, given that the youngest child is a girl, is given by $$P\left( {A/B} \right).$$
$$P\left( {A/B} \right) = \frac{{P\left( {A \cap B} \right)}}{{P\left( B \right)}} = \frac{{\frac{1}{4}}}{{\frac{1}{2}}} = \frac{1}{2}$$
$$\left( {{\text{ii}}} \right)$$ Let $$C$$ be the event that at least one child is a girl.
Therefore, $$C = \left\{ {\left( {b,\,g} \right),\,\left( {g,\,b} \right),\,\left( {g,\,g} \right)} \right\}$$
$$\eqalign{
& \Rightarrow A \cap C = \left\{ {g,\,g} \right\} \cr
& \Rightarrow P\left( C \right) = \frac{3}{4}{\text{ and}}\,P\left( {A \cap C} \right) = \frac{1}{4} \cr} $$
The conditional probability that both are girls, given that at least one child is a girl, is given by $$P\left( {A|C} \right).$$
Therefore $$P\left( {A|C} \right) = \frac{{P\left( {A \cap C} \right)}}{{P\left( C \right)}} = \frac{{\frac{1}{4}}}{{\frac{3}{4}}} = \frac{1}{3}$$
47.
There are four machines and it is known that exactly two of them are faulty. They are tested one by one in a random order till both the faulty machines are identified. Then the probability that only two tests will be required is :
A
$$\frac{1}{3}$$
B
$$\frac{1}{6}$$
C
$$\frac{1}{2}$$
D
$$\frac{1}{4}$$
Answer :
$$\frac{1}{6}$$
The required probability $$=$$ (probability of the first being faulty) × (probability of the second being faulty when the first is faulty)
$$\eqalign{
& = \frac{2}{4} \times \frac{1}{3} \cr
& = \frac{1}{6} \cr} $$
48.
The probability that $$A$$ speaks truth is $$\frac{4}{5}$$ while the probability for $$B$$ is $$\frac{3}{4}.$$ The probability that they contradict each other when asked to speak on a fact is
A
$$\frac{4}{5}$$
B
$$\frac{1}{5}$$
C
$$\frac{7}{20}$$
D
$$\frac{3}{20}$$
Answer :
$$\frac{7}{20}$$
$$A$$ and $$B$$ will contradict each other if one speaks truth and other false . So , the required
Probability $$ = \frac{4}{{10}}\left( {1 - \frac{3}{4}} \right) + \left( {1 - \frac{4}{5}} \right)\frac{3}{4}$$
$$\eqalign{
& = \frac{4}{5} \times \frac{1}{4} + \frac{1}{5} \times \frac{3}{4} \cr
& = \frac{7}{{20}} \cr} $$
49.
A second-order determinant is written down at random using the numbers $$1,\, - 1$$ as elements. The probability that the value of the determinant is nonzero is :
A
$$\frac{1}{2}$$
B
$$\frac{3}{8}$$
C
$$\frac{5}{8}$$
D
$$\frac{1}{3}$$
Answer :
$$\frac{1}{2}$$
$$n\left( S \right) = 2 \times 2 \times 2 \times 2 = 16,$$ because each of the four places can be filled in $$2$$ ways.
The zero determinants are \[\left| \begin{array}{l}
\,\,\,\,\,\,1\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,1\\
- 1\,\,\,\, - 1
\end{array} \right|,\left| \begin{array}{l}
- 1\,\,\,\,\, - 1\\
\,\,\,\,\,\,1\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,1
\end{array} \right|,\left| \begin{array}{l}
1\,\,\,\,\,1\\
1\,\,\,\,\,1
\end{array} \right|,\left| \begin{array}{l}
- 1\,\,\,\,\, - 1\\
- 1\,\,\,\,\, - 1
\end{array} \right|,\left| \begin{array}{l}
- 1\,\,\,\,\,1\\
- 1\,\,\,\,\,1
\end{array} \right|,\left| \begin{array}{l}
1\,\,\,\,\, - 1\\
1\,\,\,\,\, - 1
\end{array} \right|,\left| \begin{array}{l}
- 1\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,1\\
\,\,\,\,\,1\,\,\,\, - 1
\end{array} \right|,\left| \begin{array}{l}
\,\,\,\,1\,\,\,\,\, - 1\\
- 1\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,1
\end{array} \right|\]
$$\therefore \,\,P\left( E \right) = \frac{8}{{16}} = \frac{1}{2}.$$
50.
Three of the six vertices of a regular hexagon are chosen at random. The probability that the triangle with three vertices is equilateral, equals
A
$$\frac{1}{2}$$
B
$$\frac{1}{5}$$
C
$$\frac{1}{10}$$
D
$$\frac{1}{20}$$
Answer :
$$\frac{1}{10}$$
Out of 6 vertices 3 can be chosen in $$^6{C_3}$$ ways.
$$\Delta $$ will be equilateral if it is $$\Delta \,ACE$$ or $$\Delta \,BDF$$ (2 ways)
∴ Required prob. $$ = \frac{2}{{^6{C_3}}} = \frac{2}{{20}} = \frac{1}{{10}}$$