Probability MCQ Questions & Answers in Statistics and Probability | Maths
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231.
Two aeroplanes $$I$$ and $$II$$ bomb a target in succession. The probabilities of $$I$$ and $$II$$ scoring a hit correctly are $$0.3$$ and $$0.2,$$ respectively. The second plane will bomb only if the first misses the target. The probability that the target is hit by the second plane is :
A
$$0.2$$
B
$$0.7$$
C
$$0.06$$
D
$$0.14$$
Answer :
$$0.14$$
Given : Probability of aeroplane $$I$$, scoring a target correctly i.e., $$P\left( I \right) = 0.3$$ probability of scoring a target correctly by aeroplane $$II$$, i.e. $$P\left( {II} \right) = 0.2$$
$$\eqalign{
& \therefore \,P\left( {\overline I } \right) = 1 - 0.3 = 0.7 \cr
& \therefore \,{\text{The required probability}} \cr
& = P\left( {\overline I \cap II} \right) \cr
& = P\left( {\overline I } \right).P\left( {II} \right) \cr
& = 0.7 \times 0.2 \cr
& = 0.14 \cr} $$
232.
If three distinct numbers are chosen randomly from the first 100 natural numbers, then the probability that all three of them are divisible by both 2 and 3 is
A
$$\frac{4}{25}$$
B
$$\frac{4}{35}$$
C
$$\frac{4}{33}$$
D
$$\frac{4}{1155}$$
Answer :
$$\frac{4}{1155}$$
If a no. is to be divisible by both 2 and 3. It should be divisible by their L.C.M.
∴ L.C.M. of (2 and 3) = 6
∴ Numbers are = 6, 12,18 . . . . 96.
Total numbers are = 16
∴ Probability $$ = \frac{{^{16}{C_3}}}{{^{100}{C_3}}} = \frac{4}{{1155}}$$
233.
$$10$$ apples are distributed at random among $$6$$ persons. The probability that at least one of them will receive none is :
A
$$\frac{6}{{143}}$$
B
$$\frac{{{}^{14}{C_4}}}{{{}^{15}{C_5}}}$$
C
$$\frac{{137}}{{143}}$$
D
none of these
Answer :
$$\frac{{137}}{{143}}$$
The required probability $$ = 1 - $$ probability of each receiving at least one
$$ = 1 - \frac{{n\left( E \right)}}{{n\left( S \right)}}.$$
Now, the number of integral solutions of $${x_1} + {x_2} + {x_3} + {x_4} + {x_5} + {x_6} = 10$$ such that $${x_1} \geqslant 1,\,{x_2} \geqslant 1,\,......,\,{x_6} \geqslant 1$$ gives $$n\left( E \right)$$ and the number of integral solutions of $${x_1} + {x_2} + ...... + {x_5} + {x_6} = 10$$ such that $${x_1} \geqslant 0,\,{x_2} \geqslant 0,\,......,\,{x_6} \geqslant 0$$ gives $$n\left( S \right).$$
$$\therefore $$ the required probability $$ = 1 - \frac{{{}^{10 - 1}{C_{6 - 1}}}}{{{}^{10 + 6 - 1}{C_{6 - 1}}}} = 1 - \frac{{{}^9{C_5}}}{{{}^{15}{C_5}}} = \frac{{137}}{{143}}.$$
234.
In a convex hexagon two diagonals are drawn at random. The probability that the diagonals intersect at an interior point of the hexagon is :
A
$$\frac{5}{{12}}$$
B
$$\frac{7}{{12}}$$
C
$$\frac{2}{5}$$
D
none of these
Answer :
$$\frac{5}{{12}}$$
$$n\left( S \right) = $$ total number of sections of two diagonals $$ = {}^{{}^6{C_2} - 6}{C_2} = {}^9{C_2} = \frac{{9 \times 8}}{2} = 36.$$
$$n\left( E \right) = $$ the number of selections of two diagonals which intersect at an interior point
$$ = $$ the number of selections of four vertices $$ = {}^6{C_4} = 15$$
$$\therefore $$ the required probability $$ = \frac{{15}}{{36}} = \frac{5}{{12}}.$$
235.
Probability that a man who is $$40$$ year old, living till $$75$$ years is $$\frac{5}{{16}},$$ and another man who is $$35$$ years old living till $$70$$ years is $$\frac{3}{7}$$ then what is the probability that at least one of them will be alive till $$35$$ years hence ?
A
$$\frac{{11}}{{28}}$$
B
$$\frac{{19}}{{28}}$$
C
$$\frac{{17}}{{28}}$$
D
none of these
Answer :
$$\frac{{17}}{{28}}$$
Let $$A$$ be the event that $${1^{st}}$$ man will be alive till $$75$$ years and $$B$$ be the event that $${2^{nd}}$$ man will be alive till $$70$$ years then $$P\left( A \right) = \frac{5}{{16}}$$ and $$P\left( B \right) = \frac{3}{7}$$ then $$P\left( {A'} \right) = \frac{{11}}{{16}}$$ and $$P\left( {B'} \right) = \frac{4}{7}.$$
Probability that none of them will be alive $$35$$ years hence is $$P\left( {A'} \right) \times P\left( {B'} \right) = \frac{{11}}{{16}} \times \frac{4}{7} = \frac{{11}}{{28}}$$
Then required probability is $$1 - \frac{{11}}{{28}} = \frac{{17}}{{28}}$$
236.
There is a five-volume dictionary among $$50$$ books arranged on a shelf in random order. If the volumes are not necessarily kept side by side, the probability that they occur in increasing order from left to right is :
A
$$\frac{1}{5}$$
B
$$\frac{1}{{{5^{50}}}}$$
C
$$\frac{1}{{{{50}^5}}}$$
D
none of these
Answer :
none of these
The number of ways of arranging $$50$$ books$$ = {}^{50}{P_{50}} = 50!.$$
The number of ways of choosing places for the five volume dictionary is $${}^{50}{C_5}$$ and the number of ways of arranging the remaining $$45$$ books $$ = {}^{45}{P_{45}} = \left( {45} \right)!.$$
Thus the number of favourable ways is $$\left( {{}^{50}{C_5}} \right)\left( {45!} \right).$$
Hence the probability of the required event
$$\eqalign{
& = \frac{{\left( {{}^{50}{C_5}} \right)\left( {45!} \right)}}{{50!}} \cr
& = \left( {\frac{{50!}}{{5!\,45!}}} \right)\left( {\frac{{45!}}{{50!}}} \right) \cr
& = \frac{1}{{5!}} \cr
& = \frac{1}{{120}} \cr} $$
237.
Three randomly chosen non - negative integers $$x, y$$ and $$z$$ are found to satisfy the equation $$x + y + z = 10.$$ Then the probability that $$z$$ is even, is
A
$$\frac{{36}}{{55}}$$
B
$$\frac{{6}}{{11}}$$
C
$$\frac{{1}}{{2}}$$
D
$$\frac{{5}}{{11}}$$
Answer :
$$\frac{{6}}{{11}}$$
Total number of non negative solutions of $$x + y + z = 10$$ are $$^{12}{C_2} = 66$$ (using $$^{n + r - 1}{C_{r - 1}}$$ )
If $$z$$ is even then there can be following cases :
$$z = 0$$
⇒ No. of ways of solving $$x + y = 10$$
⇒ $$^{11}{C_1}$$
$$z = 2$$
⇒ No. of ways of solving $$x + y = 8$$
⇒ $$^{9}{C_1}$$
$$z = 4$$
⇒ No. of ways of solving $$x + y = 6$$
⇒ $$^{7}{C_1}$$
$$z = 6$$
⇒ No. of ways of solving $$x + y = 4$$
⇒ $$^{5}{C_1}$$
$$z = 8$$
⇒ No. of ways of solving $$x + y = 2$$
⇒ $$^{3}{C_1}$$
$$z = 10$$
⇒ No. of ways of solving $$x + y = 0$$
⇒ 1
∴ Total ways when $$z$$ is even = 11 + 9 + 7 + 5 + 3 + 1 = 36
∴ Required probability $$ = \frac{{36}}{{66}} = \frac{6}{{11}}$$
238.
The probability of India winning a test match against west Indies is $$\frac{1}{2}.$$ Assuming independence from match to match the probability that in a 5 match series India’s second win occurs at third test is
A
$$\frac{1}{8}$$
B
$$\frac{1}{4}$$
C
$$\frac{1}{2}$$
D
$$\frac{2}{3}$$
Answer :
$$\frac{1}{4}$$
Given that $$P$$ (India wins) $$= p =$$ $$\frac{1}{2}$$
∴ $$P$$ (India loses) $$= p’ =$$ $$\frac{1}{2}$$
Out of 5 matches india’s second win occurs at third test
⇒ India wins third test and simultaneously it has won one match from first two and lost the other.
∴ Required prob. = $$P (LWW) + P (WLW)$$
$$ = {\left( {\frac{1}{2}} \right)^3} + {\left( {\frac{1}{2}} \right)^3} = \frac{1}{4}$$
239.
For two mutually exclusive events $$A$$ and $$B,\,P\left( A \right) = 0.2$$ and $$P\left( {\overline A \cap B} \right) = 0.3.$$ What is $$P\left( {A\left| {\left( {A \cup B} \right)} \right.} \right)$$ equal to ?
240.
By examining the chest X-ray, the probability that TB is detected when a person is actually suffering is $$0.99.$$ The probability of an healthy person diagnosed to have TB is $$0.001.$$ In a certain city, $$1$$ in $$1000$$ people suffers from TB, A person is selected at random and is diagnosed to have TB. Then, the probability that the person actually has TB is :
A
$$\frac{{110}}{{221}}$$
B
$$\frac{2}{{223}}$$
C
$$\frac{{110}}{{223}}$$
D
$$\frac{1}{{221}}$$
Answer :
$$\frac{{110}}{{221}}$$
Let $$A$$ denote the event that the person has TB.
Let $$B$$ denote the event that the person has not TB.
Let $$E$$ denote the event that the person is diagnosed to have TB.
$$\eqalign{
& \therefore \,P\left( A \right) = \frac{1}{{1000}},\,P\left( B \right) = \frac{{999}}{{1000}} \cr
& P\left( {\frac{E}{A}} \right) = 0.99,\,P\left( {\frac{E}{B}} \right) = 0.001 \cr
& {\text{The required probability is given by}} \cr
& P\left( {\frac{A}{E}} \right) = \frac{{P\left( A \right) \times \left( {\frac{E}{A}} \right)}}{{P\left( A \right) \times P\left( {\frac{E}{A}} \right) + P\left( B \right) \times \left( {\frac{E}{B}} \right)}} \cr
& = \frac{{\frac{1}{{1000}} \times 0.99}}{{\frac{1}{{1000}} \times 0.99 + \frac{{999}}{{1000}} \times 0.001}} \cr
& = \frac{{110}}{{221}} \cr} $$